@TechReport{CEPII:2024-12,
author={Antoine Bouët and Anthony Edo and Charlotte Emlinger},
title={Does Trade Exposure Explain Antiglobalization Votes?},
year=2024,
month=October,
institution={CEPII},
type={Working Papers},
url={https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/fr/publications/wp/abstract.asp?NoDoc=14261},
number={2024-12},
abstract={
We investigate the local effects of trade exposure and immigration on voting behavior in France from 1988 to 2022. We use the content of each candidate's manifesto to construct an anti-globalization voting index for each French presidential election. This index shows a significant increase in the anti-globalization positions of candidates, and a growing anti-globalization vote beyond the far right. We show that increasing local exposure to import competition and immigration increases anti-globalization votes, while increasing export exposure reduces them. We also find that imports have different effects depending on the products imported. While exposure to imports of final goods increases anti-globalization voting, exposure to imports of intermediate goods reduces it.
},
keywords={Voting ; Trade ; Immigration ; Political Economy}
}